Coffee is more than a morning ritual in the United States. It is a supply chain story that stretches across continents and makes the U.S. one of the largest importers of coffee in the world. Every cup begins with beans shipped thousands of miles, and in 2024 and 2025 those global trade patterns have shifted in noticeable ways. Tariffs, climate conditions, and changing sourcing strategies are creating new pressures on import volumes.

To better understand these shifts, we analyzed container booking data for HS Code 09 (coffee, tea, spices), focusing on weekly shipments bound for the U.S. The first trend that emerges is a sharp divergence between 2024 and 2025 volumes. Early 2025 began with stronger bookings, but by midyear shipments fell well below the prior year’s seasonal highs.

In the next sections we will look at these global patterns in more detail, followed by a breakdown of the top countries shipping coffee into the U.S., including Brazil, Colombia, and Vietnam. Together these insights show not only where America’s coffee comes from but also how policy and market forces are shaping the cost of every latte and cold brew.

Coffee imports to the US surge early, then drop well below 2024 levels

*Interactive: Scroll or hover to see weekly TEU volumes for each year

In early 2025, coffee shipments to the U.S. were consistently higher than 2024 levels, with year-over-year growth reaching as much as +36% in Week 5. That momentum quickly reversed by midyear, as volumes from Weeks 27 through 34 fell sharply compared with the same period in 2024. The steepest decline occurred in Week 32, when shipments dropped –48% YoY, marking the lowest point in the dataset. Unlike the strong summer peaks of 2024, 2025 failed to deliver its seasonal highs, signaling disruption in typical sourcing and shipping cycles. While there was a brief recovery between Weeks 17 and 21, the broader trend highlights growing volatility tied to tariffs, weather events, and shifting supply chain strategies.

Barrons reported that these disruptions are already being felt in grocery aisles, with tariffs and weather shocks driving retail coffee prices sharply higher for U.S. consumers.

Coffee imports to the US swing sharply week to week, with steep YoY losses by mid-2025

The volatility becomes even clearer when looking at week-to-week and year-over-year shifts. In the next section, we break down which countries are driving these changes. 

Brazilian shipments to the US fall more than 80% compared with 2024 peaks

*Interactive: Scroll or hover to see weekly TEU volumes for each year

Brazil’s coffee shipments to the U.S. started 2025 slightly below the prior year but turned higher by late January and held strong through most of February. The picture shifted at the end of the month, when volumes fell sharply and never recovered to 2024 levels. The seasonal peak that defined mid-2024 was absent in 2025, with shipments in late July and early August collapsing by more than 80% year over year. A small rebound followed in Week 33, but volumes remained far below the previous year’s highs, underscoring how tariffs and trade pressure reshaped flows from Brazil, the U.S.’s largest coffee supplier.

As The Washington Post highlighted, new tariffs on Brazilian coffee have amplified the strain on import volumes, directly impacting roasters and small businesses across the U.S.

Colombian coffee shipments to the US hold steady in 2025 with periods of strong growth

*Interactive: Scroll or hover to see weekly TEU volumes for each year

Colombia’s coffee shipments to the U.S. began 2025 on a strong footing, with January volumes consistently above 2024. While there were fluctuations in February and March, overall flows remained stable and often outperformed the prior year through mid-2025. Notably, late summer showed strength, with Weeks 29–31 exceeding 2024 levels, peaking at 414 TEUs in Week 29 compared with 346 TEUs in 2024. Even as Brazil faltered, Colombia’s supply demonstrated resilience, positioning it as a critical offset for U.S. buyers seeking to diversify sourcing.

Vietnam’s coffee shipments to the US swing wildly in 2025 with sharp gains and deep troughs

*Interactive: Scroll or hover to see weekly TEU volumes for each year

Vietnam’s coffee exports to the U.S. in 2025 have been marked by extreme volatility. January began with mixed results, including a surge in Week 4 to nearly 300 TEUs, far above the prior year. This was followed by sharp swings in February and March, with volumes rising and falling week to week. A collapse in late June and July brought shipments down well below 2024 levels, including a –64% YoY drop in Week 32. By August, volumes had not recovered, with totals remaining far below last year’s levels. Vietnam’s uneven supply pattern reflects its role as a major robusta exporter, where weather disruptions and tariff exposure have amplified shipment volatility in 2025.

Industry voices echo this picture: Business Insider interviewed roasters who described how tariffs, climate, and supply chain instability are driving up costs across the U.S. coffee market.

The 2025 data show clear differences in how the leading coffee suppliers to the U.S. have adapted to a challenging year. Brazil’s shipments fell sharply by midyear, Colombia maintained steady volumes with periods of growth, and Vietnam experienced pronounced volatility. These patterns point to a changing landscape for U.S. coffee sourcing, where reliance on one dominant supplier is giving way to a more complex and uncertain trade environment. Looking ahead, success for importers and roasters may depend on diversifying origins, adjusting sourcing strategies, and using real-time data to stay ahead of shifting market pressures.

For a closer look at specific product categories, comparisons with other key trade partners, or tailored market insights, reach out to our team — we can help you translate shifting booking patterns into actionable sourcing and pricing strategies.

Get Ahead with Early Trade Intelligence

Vizion’s TradeView platform gives you live visibility into:

1. Booking trends by country, product type, HS code, or commodity
2. Changes by country or port
3. Shipment behavior by consignee, shipper, and logistics provider

Share this blog on Linked-In:

‍