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Where China's Container Exports Are Going in 2026

July 16, 2026

The most striking thing about China's container trade in 2026 is how quiet it looks. After a year of tariff shocks, booking collapses, and pull-forward rushes, the weekly China to US line has settled into a calm rhythm. That calm is the story. The volatility ended, and the volume that left the lane during 2025 has stayed gone.

Vizion booking data across seven major China export lanes, covering week 1 through week 28 of both 2025 and 2026, shows where it went.

The US lane found a lower floor

China to US Weekly Container BookingsJanuary through mid July, 2025 vs 2026202520260K60K120K180K240KJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyMid May 2025 rush: 227,510Early May 2025 trough: 53,122Lunar New Year: 4,538135,522Week 012025: 138,9532026: 127,316Week 022025: 152,3472026: 120,240Week 032025: 127,3112026: 130,552Week 042025: 141,4942026: 115,851Week 052025: 25,4452026: 97,254Week 062025: 106,3832026: 91,033Week 072025: 112,8762026: 91,092Week 082025: 126,1702026: 4,538Week 092025: 125,0842026: 85,172Week 102025: 126,1572026: 101,300Week 112025: 125,8702026: 96,640Week 122025: 129,3042026: 104,585Week 132025: 135,0912026: 122,616Week 142025: 102,9192026: 109,436Week 152025: 103,5382026: 100,839Week 162025: 80,9042026: 120,790Week 172025: 89,9092026: 131,760Week 182025: 53,1222026: 112,880Week 192025: 88,9842026: 122,554Week 202025: 227,5102026: 147,098Week 212025: 218,5962026: 155,836Week 222025: 168,1852026: 145,082Week 232025: 153,0172026: 161,790Week 242025: 162,4592026: 149,750Week 252025: 154,0602026: 120,591Week 262025: 138,0312026: 148,565Week 272025: 137,4042026: 147,627Week 282025: 124,8572026: 135,522Source: Vizion booking data, China to US, January 2025 through mid July 2026

The grey 2025 line tells the story of last year's whiplash. Bookings collapsed through April as tariff escalation hit, bottoming at 53,122 in week 18. Two weeks later, the tariff pause triggered a rush that sent weekly bookings to 227,510, the highest reading in the entire dataset.

The yellow 2026 line shows what came after. No collapse, no rush, just a steady band running between roughly 100,000 and 160,000 bookings a week. Through week 28, China to US bookings are down 7.8% year over year. Strip out the weeks distorted by the shifting Lunar New Year calendar and the decline still sits above 4%. The trade has stopped whipsawing and settled into a structurally smaller lane.

Southeast Asia is the destination

Four Southeast Asian lanes combined, Vietnam, Malaysia, Thailand, and Indonesia, are up 28.3% year to date at 1.68 million bookings, and the pace is accelerating: over the most recent nine weeks the composite runs 34% above the comparable 2025 period. This matches what Vizion sees on the import side, where Southeast Asia's share of US inbound bookings has climbed from 20% to 29% over two years. Two independent views of the same shift.

The lane by lane detail sharpens the picture. Malaysia leads at 39.3% growth year to date. Indonesia is up 27.4% and accelerating hardest, running 49% above last year over the most recent nine weeks. Thailand has grown a steady 25.1% in every window measured.

China to Vietnam Weekly Container BookingsJanuary through mid July, 2025 vs 2026202520260K6K12K18K24KJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyLate March 2026 peak: 23,140LNY 2026: 40911,955LNY 2025: 999Week 012025: 14,8102026: 14,294Week 022025: 9,9612026: 12,466Week 032025: 10,0412026: 12,164Week 042025: 8,6772026: 12,775Week 052025: 9992026: 11,665Week 062025: 6,6782026: 10,925Week 072025: 12,1512026: 10,318Week 082025: 12,6662026: 409Week 092025: 15,7902026: 13,704Week 102025: 13,0002026: 14,924Week 112025: 12,8462026: 16,036Week 122025: 14,1802026: 16,591Week 132025: 16,2542026: 23,140Week 142025: 11,8262026: 18,100Week 152025: 14,4232026: 16,508Week 162025: 15,2142026: 17,219Week 172025: 15,1252026: 20,474Week 182025: 7,2952026: 13,535Week 192025: 10,8712026: 14,810Week 202025: 12,0252026: 14,715Week 212025: 15,4542026: 18,789Week 222025: 15,1902026: 16,187Week 232025: 12,5432026: 15,593Week 242025: 10,3072026: 15,779Week 252025: 9,8512026: 13,010Week 262025: 13,2192026: 18,612Week 272025: 11,8012026: 13,611Week 282025: 9,6782026: 11,955Source: Vizion booking data, China to Vietnam, January 2025 through mid July 2026

Vietnam, the lane that draws the most transshipment attention, tells a different story. It is up 22.7% year to date, which makes it the slowest growing of the four. Volume built rapidly through the first quarter, peaked at 23,140 bookings in week 13, and has faded 48% since. A first quarter peak is unusual when transpacific and Asia to Europe lanes typically build toward summer, and a March rush of Chinese inputs is consistent with shippers front loading routes while rules of origin enforcement tightens. Meanwhile the three lanes facing less scrutiny are still climbing. The rerouting appears to flow around the pressure.

Europe is absorbing more, and faster

China to Europe is the largest lane in the dataset at 4.19 million bookings year to date, and it is accelerating. Year to date growth stands at 8.3%, but over the most recent nine weeks the lane is running 12.4% above the comparable 2025 period, with 2026 volumes topping 200,000 bookings in week 22. Goods that once crossed the Pacific are increasingly landing in European ports, which aligns with the import pressure European trade officials have been flagging all year.

Mexico is the quiet underperformer

For all the attention nearshoring receives, China to Mexico is the slowest growing destination outside the US lane itself. Year to date growth of 8.2% trails every Southeast Asian lane by 14 points or more, and the most recent nine weeks have softened to 6.3% above last year. If Chinese inputs were flooding toward North American assembly at the pace the nearshoring narrative suggests, this lane would show it. It does not.

Seven lanes, one map

China Export Booking Growth by DestinationJanuary to mid July 2026 vs the same period in 2025-10%0%10%20%30%40%+39.3%MalaysiaChina to MalaysiaYTD bookings: 404,995+27.4%IndonesiaChina to IndonesiaYTD bookings: 482,645+25.1%ThailandChina to ThailandYTD bookings: 383,247+22.7%VietnamChina to VietnamYTD bookings: 408,308+8.3%EuropeChina to EuropeYTD bookings: 4,185,053+8.2%MexicoChina to MexicoYTD bookings: 759,914-7.8%USChina to USYTD bookings: 3,298,309Source: Vizion booking data, January to mid July of 2025 and 2026

Put the seven lanes side by side and the map redraws itself. The US lane shrank 7.8%. Southeast Asia absorbed the fastest growth across four separate lanes. Europe absorbed the most volume. Mexico grew, but modestly.

Carrier level detail sharpens the picture further: one major carrier, now at the center of the year's biggest liner acquisition, grew its transpacific bookings nearly 30% into a declining trade. TradeView subscribers can see which one, and where the volume went.

Booking data leads vessel movements by weeks, which is why these shifts appear here before they show up in port throughput statistics. To see lane, carrier, and commodity level booking trends as they develop, request a TradeView demo below.

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Where China's Container Exports Are Going in 2026

July 16, 2026
Vizion booking data across seven lanes shows China's export volume shifting away from the US and toward Southeast Asia and Europe in 2026.

The most striking thing about China's container trade in 2026 is how quiet it looks. After a year of tariff shocks, booking collapses, and pull-forward rushes, the weekly China to US line has settled into a calm rhythm. That calm is the story. The volatility ended, and the volume that left the lane during 2025 has stayed gone.

Vizion booking data across seven major China export lanes, covering week 1 through week 28 of both 2025 and 2026, shows where it went.

The US lane found a lower floor

China to US Weekly Container BookingsJanuary through mid July, 2025 vs 2026202520260K60K120K180K240KJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyMid May 2025 rush: 227,510Early May 2025 trough: 53,122Lunar New Year: 4,538135,522Week 012025: 138,9532026: 127,316Week 022025: 152,3472026: 120,240Week 032025: 127,3112026: 130,552Week 042025: 141,4942026: 115,851Week 052025: 25,4452026: 97,254Week 062025: 106,3832026: 91,033Week 072025: 112,8762026: 91,092Week 082025: 126,1702026: 4,538Week 092025: 125,0842026: 85,172Week 102025: 126,1572026: 101,300Week 112025: 125,8702026: 96,640Week 122025: 129,3042026: 104,585Week 132025: 135,0912026: 122,616Week 142025: 102,9192026: 109,436Week 152025: 103,5382026: 100,839Week 162025: 80,9042026: 120,790Week 172025: 89,9092026: 131,760Week 182025: 53,1222026: 112,880Week 192025: 88,9842026: 122,554Week 202025: 227,5102026: 147,098Week 212025: 218,5962026: 155,836Week 222025: 168,1852026: 145,082Week 232025: 153,0172026: 161,790Week 242025: 162,4592026: 149,750Week 252025: 154,0602026: 120,591Week 262025: 138,0312026: 148,565Week 272025: 137,4042026: 147,627Week 282025: 124,8572026: 135,522Source: Vizion booking data, China to US, January 2025 through mid July 2026

The grey 2025 line tells the story of last year's whiplash. Bookings collapsed through April as tariff escalation hit, bottoming at 53,122 in week 18. Two weeks later, the tariff pause triggered a rush that sent weekly bookings to 227,510, the highest reading in the entire dataset.

The yellow 2026 line shows what came after. No collapse, no rush, just a steady band running between roughly 100,000 and 160,000 bookings a week. Through week 28, China to US bookings are down 7.8% year over year. Strip out the weeks distorted by the shifting Lunar New Year calendar and the decline still sits above 4%. The trade has stopped whipsawing and settled into a structurally smaller lane.

Southeast Asia is the destination

Four Southeast Asian lanes combined, Vietnam, Malaysia, Thailand, and Indonesia, are up 28.3% year to date at 1.68 million bookings, and the pace is accelerating: over the most recent nine weeks the composite runs 34% above the comparable 2025 period. This matches what Vizion sees on the import side, where Southeast Asia's share of US inbound bookings has climbed from 20% to 29% over two years. Two independent views of the same shift.

The lane by lane detail sharpens the picture. Malaysia leads at 39.3% growth year to date. Indonesia is up 27.4% and accelerating hardest, running 49% above last year over the most recent nine weeks. Thailand has grown a steady 25.1% in every window measured.

China to Vietnam Weekly Container BookingsJanuary through mid July, 2025 vs 2026202520260K6K12K18K24KJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyLate March 2026 peak: 23,140LNY 2026: 40911,955LNY 2025: 999Week 012025: 14,8102026: 14,294Week 022025: 9,9612026: 12,466Week 032025: 10,0412026: 12,164Week 042025: 8,6772026: 12,775Week 052025: 9992026: 11,665Week 062025: 6,6782026: 10,925Week 072025: 12,1512026: 10,318Week 082025: 12,6662026: 409Week 092025: 15,7902026: 13,704Week 102025: 13,0002026: 14,924Week 112025: 12,8462026: 16,036Week 122025: 14,1802026: 16,591Week 132025: 16,2542026: 23,140Week 142025: 11,8262026: 18,100Week 152025: 14,4232026: 16,508Week 162025: 15,2142026: 17,219Week 172025: 15,1252026: 20,474Week 182025: 7,2952026: 13,535Week 192025: 10,8712026: 14,810Week 202025: 12,0252026: 14,715Week 212025: 15,4542026: 18,789Week 222025: 15,1902026: 16,187Week 232025: 12,5432026: 15,593Week 242025: 10,3072026: 15,779Week 252025: 9,8512026: 13,010Week 262025: 13,2192026: 18,612Week 272025: 11,8012026: 13,611Week 282025: 9,6782026: 11,955Source: Vizion booking data, China to Vietnam, January 2025 through mid July 2026

Vietnam, the lane that draws the most transshipment attention, tells a different story. It is up 22.7% year to date, which makes it the slowest growing of the four. Volume built rapidly through the first quarter, peaked at 23,140 bookings in week 13, and has faded 48% since. A first quarter peak is unusual when transpacific and Asia to Europe lanes typically build toward summer, and a March rush of Chinese inputs is consistent with shippers front loading routes while rules of origin enforcement tightens. Meanwhile the three lanes facing less scrutiny are still climbing. The rerouting appears to flow around the pressure.

Europe is absorbing more, and faster

China to Europe is the largest lane in the dataset at 4.19 million bookings year to date, and it is accelerating. Year to date growth stands at 8.3%, but over the most recent nine weeks the lane is running 12.4% above the comparable 2025 period, with 2026 volumes topping 200,000 bookings in week 22. Goods that once crossed the Pacific are increasingly landing in European ports, which aligns with the import pressure European trade officials have been flagging all year.

Mexico is the quiet underperformer

For all the attention nearshoring receives, China to Mexico is the slowest growing destination outside the US lane itself. Year to date growth of 8.2% trails every Southeast Asian lane by 14 points or more, and the most recent nine weeks have softened to 6.3% above last year. If Chinese inputs were flooding toward North American assembly at the pace the nearshoring narrative suggests, this lane would show it. It does not.

Seven lanes, one map

China Export Booking Growth by DestinationJanuary to mid July 2026 vs the same period in 2025-10%0%10%20%30%40%+39.3%MalaysiaChina to MalaysiaYTD bookings: 404,995+27.4%IndonesiaChina to IndonesiaYTD bookings: 482,645+25.1%ThailandChina to ThailandYTD bookings: 383,247+22.7%VietnamChina to VietnamYTD bookings: 408,308+8.3%EuropeChina to EuropeYTD bookings: 4,185,053+8.2%MexicoChina to MexicoYTD bookings: 759,914-7.8%USChina to USYTD bookings: 3,298,309Source: Vizion booking data, January to mid July of 2025 and 2026

Put the seven lanes side by side and the map redraws itself. The US lane shrank 7.8%. Southeast Asia absorbed the fastest growth across four separate lanes. Europe absorbed the most volume. Mexico grew, but modestly.

Carrier level detail sharpens the picture further: one major carrier, now at the center of the year's biggest liner acquisition, grew its transpacific bookings nearly 30% into a declining trade. TradeView subscribers can see which one, and where the volume went.

Booking data leads vessel movements by weeks, which is why these shifts appear here before they show up in port throughput statistics. To see lane, carrier, and commodity level booking trends as they develop, request a TradeView demo below.

Talk to an Expert

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Are you ready to experience the many benefits of container visibility? Schedule a VIZION API demo today.

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